2024 Wells Fargo Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Cameron DaSilva | Staff Writer

The 2024 Wells Fargo Championship gives players 1 last chance to refine their game before the 2nd major of the year, the PGA Championship. The 1st round from Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, N.C., begins on Thursday morning, with the tournament wrapping up on Sunday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Xander Schauffele isn't the betting favorite, but he is the 2nd-highest-ranked player in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, behind only Scottie Scheffler, who is not in the field as he awaits the birth of his first child. Ludvig Aberg is also not playing after withdrawing Monday due to a knee injury. Rory McIlroy is No. 3 in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, followed by Aberg, Patrick Cantlay and Viktor Hovland.

Quail Hollow is a major-like test for players, having hosted the PGA Championship as recently as 2017 when Justin Thomas won. It's a par 71 and 7,558 yards, and recently underwent renovations following last year's tournament. Wyndham Clark won this event in 2023 with a tournament-record score of 19-under 265.

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Wells Fargo Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:36 p.m. ET.

Wyndham Clark (+275)

This number is shorter now that Aberg is no longer in the field, but it's still worth playing at +275. Clark could very well go back-to-back and win this week, but a safer play is for him to finish in the top 5 for the 5th time this season.

Cameron Young (+500)

Young is still seeking that elusive 1st win on the PGA Tour and though this course is a good fit for him to get it done in a limited field, beating all of the top players (except Scheffler and Aberg) is a tall task. Instead, consider playing him for a top-5 at +500.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top-10 picks

Max Homa (+200)

Homa won this event in 2019 and finished 8th last year, proving to be a great fit for Quail Hollow. He also has 2 top-10s in his last 5 starts this season, so his recent form is very good, too.

Tommy Fleetwood (+225)

While this could be the week Fleetwood breaks through with a win on American soil, I love his chances for a top 10. He finished 5th here last year and 14th in 2021, and is coming off 3rd- and 7th-place finishes in his last 3 starts on the PGA Tour.

Will Zalatoris (+300)

Zalatoris excels in major-like settings, which Quail Hollow and the Wells Fargo Championship present. He and Sahith Theegala surprisingly missed the cut at the Zurich Classic as a 2-man team, but now that Zalatoris will be back to playing his own game, I like his outlook this week. He's a great ball striker and plenty long enough to take on the challenge of Quail Hollow.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top-20 picks

Harris English (+160)

English came in 3rd here last year and already has 6 top-21 finishes this season. In a limited field of just 69 players, he has an even better chance to crack the top 20 again despite the star power teeing it up in Charlotte.

Brian Harman (+130)

Harman is once again flying somewhat under the radar with +4500 pre-tournament outright odds. At +130 for a top-20 finish, he's a great value. In his last 5 starts at Quail Hollow, his best finishes were 18th, 24th and 13th, the last of which was at the 2017 PGA Championship.

Nick Taylor (+350)

There are only 10 players with worse odds to finish in the top 20 than Taylor this week. Needless to say, that feels wrong considering he already won a signature event this year and has 2 wins since last June.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

Cam Davis (+280)
Akshay Bhatia (+130)

Wells Fargo Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Tommy Fleetwood (-110) vs. Sahith Theegala (-110)

I already discussed what makes Fleetwood a good bet this week, and while Theegala is also playing well right now, Fleetwood's course history gives him an edge.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top Scandinavian

Alex Noren (+100)

Aberg is out of the mix now so Aberg's odds shorten to +100 to beat Viktor Hovland, the only other Scandinavian in the field. Noren is fresh off a near-win at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson where he finished 3rd, while Hovland hasn't played since blowing up in the 2nd round of the Masters nearly a month ago.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top Asian

Hideki Matsuyama (+275)

Matsuyama hasn't played since the Masters but before that T-38 finish, he went 1st, T-12, T-6 and T-7 in his previous 4 starts. Yet he's still being a bit underrated this week after a long-ish layoff.

Wells Fargo Championship – First-round leader

Alex Noren (+4000, +320 for top-10)

Noren was just 1 shot off the 1st-round lead last week in Texas and now ranks 3rd on tour in 1st-round scoring average. Keep riding the train and take him to either lead or finish in the top 10 after Round 1 this week.

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