Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions
The Washington Nationals (10-14) and Miami Marlins (6-20) open a 4-game series at loanDepot Park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Marlins won 11-2 last season
The Nationals are coming off a 2-1 loss as +154 home underdogs against the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday with the Under (7.5) hitting. Washington was swept for the 1st time this season and scored a total of just 4 runs over the 3-game series.
The Marlins have also lost 3 straight after getting swept by the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. The most recent loss was a 4-3 defeat as +234 underdogs Thursday as the Under (9) cashed.
Nationals at Marlins projected starters
RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Anthony Maldonado
Williams (2-0, 2.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 21 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-4 home win in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros Saturday
- Career vs. Marlins: 1-4, 5.26 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.32 WHIP in 8 starts and 5 relief appearances, including 0-3 with a 7.59 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 4 starts last season
Maldonado makes his MLB debut Friday, serving as Miami's opener.
- 2024 stats with Triple-A Jacksonville: 3-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.77 WHIP in 8 relief appearances
- Hasn't pitched more than 2 innings in an appearance this year in the minors
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!
Nationals at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:21 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Marlins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-190) | Marlins -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Nationals 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline
The NATIONALS (+105) getting plus money seems like a good bet vs. the Marlins, especially since Miami will be having a bullpen day. Williams has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 3 of his 4 starts this season and should have no trouble shutting down Miami's offense, which is 28th in MLB in runs per game (3.38).
BET NATIONALS (+105).
Run line/Against the spread
The Nationals should cover the +1.5, but betting MLB teams at -190 is a losing proposition long term.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
The Under has gone 6-1-1 in Washington's last 8 games and 5-1 in Miami's last 6. The Nationals and Marlins are 21st and 25th, respectively, in hits per game, and Williams hasn't given up more than 3 earned runs in a start this season.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Corey Scott on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage: