San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions
The San Francisco Giants (15-18) and Philadelphia Phillies (22-11) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 1-0
The Phillies won their series opener with the Giants 4-3 Friday night. LF Brandon Marsh's 2-RBI single in the bottom of the 3rd gave Philadelphia the lead, and it never looked back. Starter Aaron Nola struggled with control, issuing 4 walks over his 4 innings of work. That tied his season high for free passes in a game. The Phillies have won 7 of their last 8 games.
This was easily the worst start of the season for Giants RHP Jordan Hicks, allowing 4 runs (2 ER) over 4 innings in Philadelphia Friday night. The only offense for San Francisco came from 2B Thairo Estrada's 2-RBI double in the top of the 2nd inning. The Giants are now 1-3 to begin their 10-game road trip.
Giants at Phillies projected starters
RHP Keaton Winn vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Winn (3-3, 3.18 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 34 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 1 ER (5 R), 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-1 defeat at Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
- 2024 road stats: 1-2, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER), 1.13 WHIP in 3 starts
- Never faced Phillies before
Suarez (5-0, 1.32 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.63 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 41 innings.
- Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 5-1 victory at San Diego Padres Saturday
- 2024 home stats: 2-0, 1.35 ERA (20 IP, 3 ER), 0.80 WHIP in 3 starts
- Career vs Giants: 1-0, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts and 4 relief appearances
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Giants at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Giants +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Giants at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Giants 1
Moneyline.
PASS.
I love the Phillies (-190) to win this game, but I'd rather take the plus odds on the run line than put down nearly 2 units.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).
San Francisco has not been getting it done away from the Bay, sitting with a 6-10 road record and sub-.300 OBP. It has also struggled against southpaws, sporting a record of 3-5 on the season. That fact is compounded knowing that it faces one of the best lefties in MLB thus far in Saurez. The dude has allowed just 3 earned runs all season at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia owns a 14-5 record against right-handers this season and hasn't lost in May yet.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).
I fully expect this game to be a pitching duel. Suarez has not allowed more than 1 run in his last 4 starts, while Winn has not allowed more than 2 runs in his last 4.
The Phillies' bats have been quiet recently, going Under in 2 straight, but San Francisco's offense has been in the freezer for well over a week now, going Under in 6 of its last 7.
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