Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

Kevin Erickson | Staff Writer

The Birmingham Stallions (5-0) travel to meet the Memphis Showboats (1-4) Saturday at the Simmons Bank Liberty Bowl. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Stallions vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The defending USFL champion Stallions picked up a 32-9 win in Houston last week to easily cover an 8.5-point spread as the Under (41.5) hung on at most shops. Birmingham improved to 4-1 against the spread (ATS) while cashing the Under in 4 of 5 games to date.

The Showboats suffered a 4th straight loss last week at home against the Michigan Panthers, falling 35-18. Memphis has failed to cover the past 3 outings, while the Over has hit in each game. The Showboats defense has been abysmal in the past 3 outings, allowing 32 or more points, and 33.4 points per game (PPG).

These teams met in Week 3 in Birmingham, with the Stallions dominating the Showboats 33-14 to cover a 7-point number as the Over (40.5) cashed.

The 2 sides also met during the USFL season twice last season, too. Birmingham won 42-2 in Week 2 at home to easily cover a 7-point spread as the Under (44.5) just connected, while the Stallions won in Memphis in Week 10 by a 27-20 count, also covering as a 4.5-point favorite as the Over (44) hit.

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Stallions at Showboats odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Showboats +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -12.5 (-110) | Showboats +12.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Stallions at Showboats key injuries

Stallions

RB Larry Roundtree (undisclosed) out
QB J'Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Showboats

QB Josh Love (undisclosed) out
WR Diondre Overton (undisclosed) out

Stallions at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 33, Showboats 18

Moneyline

The Stallions (-800) remain the top teams in the UFL, and we saw what they can do against the Showboats (+550) once already this season. Birmingham paddled Memphis 33-14 at home back in Week 3, and there is no reason to believe things will be any different. The Showboats just cannot stop anybody on defense.

However, you can't risk 8 times your potential return on the road team.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -12.5 (-110) are laying the biggest number of the season in UFL play. In fact, Birmingham is just the 2nd double-digit favorite in the 2024 campaign.

There is little reason to like the Showboats +12.5 (-110), as the offense has scored 19 or fewer points in all 5 games this season while allowing at least 32 points in each of the past 3 outings, including Week 3 in Birmingham.

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Over/Under

OVER 42.5 (-110) is a strong play, and Birmingham figures to do most of the heavy lifting to get this one across the finish line.

The Stallions have racked up 20 or more points in all 5 games while going for 26.3 points per game (PPG) in 3 outings on the road.

The concern with betting the Over is Birmingham's stout defense, which has allowed just 13.6 PPG, including 14 to Memphis in Week 3. The concern is also the struggling offense of the Showboats, which hasn't been able to crack the 20-point mark all season.

Still, the Stallions should do enough to get the job mostly done, even if the Showboats lay another egg.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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