San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions
The San Diego Padres (17-18) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-19) for the 2nd game of their 3-game series in Phoenix. First pitch from Chase Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 1-0.
The Padres opened the series with a 7-1 win Friday behind back-to-back homers in the 4th inning. They held the Diamondbacks to only 3 hits for their 3rd consecutive win.
The Diamondbacks lost their 10th straight series opener and are 2-6 in their last 8 games.
Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Michael King vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt
Kings (2-3, 5.00 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 36 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 8-6 home loss to Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday
- Has allowed 4+ ER in 3 of 4 last starts, has 6.23 ERA in that span
Pfaadt (1-1, 4.63 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 35 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 3-2 road win over Seattle on Sunday
- Diamondbacks have only given him 3 runs of support in each of last 3 outings
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Padres at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in the 2nd game of their series this season and a perfect 5-0 at home in the 2nd game of a series.
The Padres, who have won 3 in a row, have not had a winning streak longer than 3 games so far.
Pfaadt has pitched well and is coming off a career-high 11 Ks, while King has been struggling.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
The only 2 wins the Diamondbacks have had in their last 8 games were both by one run. However, 11 of their 14 wins are by multiple runs.
That said, they haven't scored more than 4 runs in their last 8 games, so I'm expecting a tight game.
PASS.
Over/Under
This is tough. Pfaadt's last 3 starts, and 4 of 6 overall, have had no more than 8 total runs. Seven of their last 8 and 9 of their last 11 games have not reached 9 total runs.
But for the Padres, King's last 2 starts and 4 of 6 this season have had 9 or more total runs.
BET OVER 8.5 (-120).
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